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Russia's war in Ukraine is a blatantly imperialist undertaking, however Vladimir Putin tries to sell it to African leaders who have by and large stayed neutral on the invasion. ![]() The reality, however, is that it is utterly disingenuous. The spectacle of Russian flags waved by coup-supporters at Sunday's rally in the Nigerien capital of Niamey shows just how much Russia's effort to pitch itself as an anti-colonial flagbearer resonates. Saudi Arabia has emerged as a surprise candidate for mediator between Russia and Ukraine in recent days and the reported talks are supposedly set to take place next month.Īnalysis by Diana Magnay, Moscow correspondent Understand what goals are set and what will be discussed."Īttempt to promote a peaceful settlement deserves a positive "Of course, Russia will follow this meeting, we need to Responding to the report, Mr Peskov said the Kremlin needs to gain an "understanding of the aims of the talks" before commenting further. Ukraine and the West hope the potential discussions, which would exclude Russia, could lead to international backing for peace terms favouring Ukraine, the newspaper said. Over the weekend, The Wall Street Journal reported that the Saudi Arabian government is considering inviting a number of Western states, Ukraine and developing countries to hold talks on the war. Perhaps more interesting is the Kremlin's stance on Saudi Arabia. NATO is "wasting" its resources, he claimed, by sending weapons and supplies into Ukraine due to this lack of success on the battlefield. The Ukrainian counteroffensive, he said first, shows no signs of any success the Kyiv regime is in a "difficult position". ![]() Kremlin spokesperson Dmitry Peskov has been speaking to the media this morning, and has provided a few updates for us. ![]() If the distribution is not normal, you still can compute percentiles, but the procedure will likely be different. This procedure, with z-scores and all that, assumes you are working with a Free online normal distribution calculator. Normal distribution formulas: probability density, cumulative distribution function and quantile function. Inverse normal distribution calculator (invnorm). However, if solving for the percentage, the value returned will be the actual percentage, not its decimal representation. ![]() Standard normal distribution calculator (z table calculator) which also supports custom mean and sd (standard deviation, sigma). The calculator provided automatically converts the input percentage into a decimal to compute the solution. To use the normal distribution calculator, enter the values in the given input boxes. Calculate p-value from Z score or Z score from P-value. A probability bell curve is used to depict a normal distribution. Enter mean (average), standard deviation, cutoff points, and this normal distribution calculator will calculate the area (. ![]() Then, once we have found \(z_p\), we use the following formula: Normal Distribution Calculator is an online tool that determines the probability of a value being higher or lower than a given data point x. Mean (1.1m + 1.7m) / 2 1. For a given percentage value value, expressed as a decimal \(p\), which is a number between 0 and 1, we find using Excel or a normal probability table a z-score \(z_p\) so that 99.7 of data values fall within three standard deviations of the mean. 95 of data values fall within two standard deviations of the mean. Enter population mean and standard deviation for a given normal distribution. More specifically, this calculator shows how to compute percentiles when the population mean (\(\mu\)) and standard deviation (\(\sigma\)) are known, and we know that the distribution is normal. The Empirical Rule, sometimes called the 68-95-99.7 rule, states that for a given dataset with a normal distribution: 68 of data values fall within one standard deviation of the mean. Z-score calculator computes a standardized z-score for any raw data point x. In that case, the percentile can only be estimated.īut when we have population information that determines exactly the population distribution, the percentiles can be computed exactly. The most typical case when finding percentiles is the case of The z-table shows a z-score of approximately 1.28, for an area under the normal curve to the left of z (larger portion) of approximately 0.9.Calculate the Percentile from Mean and Standard Deviation We need to find the z-score that corresponds to the area of 0.9 and then substitute it with the mean and standard deviation into our z-score formula. From choosing babys name to helping a teenager choose a college, youll make. We know the mean, standard deviation, and area under the normal curve. Parenting is one of the most complex and challenging jobs youll face in your lifetime - but also the most rewarding. The variable k is often called a critical value. Ninety percent of the test scores are the same or lower than k, and 10 percent are the same or higher. The 90 th percentile k separates the exam scores into those that are the same or lower than k and those that are the same or higher. Normal Distribution Calculator is an online tool that determines the probability of a value being higher or lower than a given data point x. This time, we are looking for a score that corresponds to a given area under the curve. Shade the area that corresponds to the 90 th percentile. You can calculate the standard normal distribution with our calculator below. For each problem or part of a problem, draw a new graph. ![]() They're completely free, so feel free to switch 'em out as often as you'd like. FOX Sports Holiday Background Tina Feys character in 30 Rock giving the thumbs. Now that you're a pro, browse through these Santa-approved Zoom backgrounds and download any that catch your eye. Teams backgrounds A Fox Sports background of a blue robot in football gear. It’s time to deck the halls (and your Zoom account) to celebrate the silly season. Upload as many backgrounds as you'd like, and rotate through your assortment.Click the arrow to the right side of it, and select "Choose a virtual background." After you sign into a Zoom call, look for an icon that says "Stop video" in the bottom left corner of the window.Pick a few options, so you can switch them between parties or meetings. Christmas Zoom Backgrounds: Make Your Holiday Video Chat Feel Festive. Download the background of your choice. If youre not able to celebrate IRL, spice up your holiday Zoom parties with these fun Christmas Zoom backgrounds for 2022.Note: to use Zoom backgrounds, your Mac OS version needs to be 10.13 or higher and. In case you need a refresher, here's how to add a virtual background on Zoom. Tap Virtual Background Select and upload your new Gray Malin background. Others serve as great conversation starters, taking your friends and family right into their favorite Christmas movies like Home Alone and How the Grinch Stole Christmas. Some of them will turn your living room into a decked-out wonderland, complete with twinkle lights, Christmas trees and festive decor. And while it may be tricky to see everyone IRL this holiday season, there are still so many ways you can celebrate together - virtual happy hours, get-togethers, game nights, you name it.īring the holiday spirit to any (and all!) calls by downloading these Christmas Zoom backgrounds. Modern Fireplace This background from Havenly features a modern mid-century living room, complete with a pretty fireplace and a mantle decorated with stockings and candles. Christmas is best spent with the people you love most. Virtual backgrounds are a solid way to add some flavor to a standard video call. The first thing you’ll want to look for is markings on the muzzle device itself for a pin-and-weld. Next, you need to determine how the device was secured, so we’d suggest you go in this order based on what we’ve experienced: Pin-and-Weld This is why we recommend torqueing against the barrel itself. Just note that if you are not secured in a barrel block or to a reaction rod, you are going to be exerting force on your barrel index pin which is not infallible. It all depends on how secure the barrel is on the device. Though you can (and we have) get away with simply clamping your receiver in a vice. We recommend using a barrel clamp or reaction rod to prevent any bending, shearing, or breaking. It all depends on how it was put on to the host firearm to begin with though, so we’ll touch on each option below.įirst and foremost, it is very important that you secure the barrel before trying to alter or adjust anything. Well, we’re here to let you know it’s a lot simpler than you may think. Others may be thinking it’s got to be complicated because there’s a full blog post dedicated to it. Some people may be thinking that you just unscrew it and wham-bam it’s done. We’re not trying to over-complicate a simple issue here. Some silencers accept your original muzzle device that information is usually on the manufacturer’s website if you’re questioning whether or not the one you have, or the one you’re interested in, does. Now, you may have caught the caveat above when we say potentially. But when it comes to getting a new silencer for your firearm, there’s potentially one more step standing in the way of fulfilling all your suppressed shooting needs, and that’s how to remove your original muzzle device, and how to install a new one. So, one more question.Is it fully legal to thread the barrel then put the brake on and weld it? That's ok? Or do I need to pin it and do something else to hold it on? I will only do legal stuff.How to Remove an A2 Muzzle Device & How to Install a New Muzzle Device With a bonus tip on how to time them!Īs most of you know already, we like to indulge in all things NFA. I'm sure it will take me a while to find somebody to put it on for me. So, as long as I can find brakes at a gun show, I'll go there to be sure I'm getting the right size. But what I would like is faster target aquisition. I'm not going to go rapid fire any time soon. If I could get the grouping a little tighter than 8 ft. But it was a lesson that had to be learned. The first shot hit but all the others seemed to get farther and farther away. ![]() The target was a computer case about 75 yards out. Haven't done that yet and always wanted to. I pulled the trigger as fast as I could, just for kicks. Downside fo that is the shipping time and cost involved. If all that fails, there are AK smiths to which you can ship your rifle to have a brake permanently attached (thread, screw on, then weld). Failing that, go to a machine shop (don't bring the rifle in with you right away - just a hint). Best bet to find a smith would probably be to find a gun/sportsman's club and inquire there. I don't think you will have too much luck looking in the phone book, but then again, I'm in Mass. Yes, most smiths can thread your muzzle for you. Then I got a FAL, but that's a different story. ![]() My AK has negligible recoil, but the muzzle rise was irritating. Muzzle rise, which is what Sacco is describing. ![]() The short version - recoil is force to the rear of the rifle along the axis of the bore. AK 74 style brakes for 7.62 are readily available from commercial channels, so I've never had to bugger with one. ![]() Question on converting a real 74 brake to 7.62 - I don't know. Others have shimmed their brakes to obtain a better fit.įrom a legal standpoint, it's fine to thread your barrel, just make sure you weld the damn brake on after. I think that's the correct address.this is from memory, so please bear with me. I got my pin on brake at a gunshow, from 's table. ![]() So in this region, a declaration of El Niño versus ENSO-neutral does not historically mean a large change in rainfall probabilities. It is only during La Niña (when the tropical Pacific is colder-than-average) when the number of wetter years diminishes. Neutral and El Niño years in this region both show a large range of possible outcomes, which includes some pretty wet years (2). In other words, the onset of El Niño might not lead to a strong increase of wintertime precipitation compared to Neutral years. One interesting aspect is that rainfall possibilities during neutral and El Niño are somewhat similar. This holds true for areas that show even stronger relationships between SST anomaly and rainfall, such as southern California (Figure 2a). Thus, we can conclude that while El Niño might in general lead to higher rainfall totals, there certainly is no 100% guarantee. But from looking at Figure 2b, we know that there is a lot of variability in the historical record. Yes, if we took an average of all the El Niño, La Niña and Neutral years together, we would discover that, on average, El Niño years meant higher rainfall totals. and neutral years all over the place (1). In fact, the relationship in the San Joaquin Valley can best be described as “kinda messy.” There are El Niño “years” with lighter amounts of rain. Not surprisingly, the two regions have historically seen different impacts from El Niño. Can the past give us a hint at what the future may hold? The black line represents the 2014 August-October ONI value. Red dots show ONI values greater than 0.5 (El Niño), blue dots show values less than -0.5 (La Niña), and black dots are neutral ONI values. Part (a) is Climate Division 91, San Joaquin Valley, while (b) is Division 93, the southern California coast. Total precipitation for December-March (vertical axis) compared to Oceanic Niño Index (ONI) values in August-October (horizontal axis). ![]() The dashed line points out the value of the August-October 2014 ENSO index value (called the Oceanic Niño Index).įigure 2. Part (a) shows conditions across southern California and part (b) shows the San Joaquin Valley, where most of the agriculture in California is grown. ![]() (Although personally, I think part (b) looks like a bunny.) Figure 2 shows how, in the past, sea surface temperature (SST) anomalies during the August – October (ASO) time frame were related to the subsequent December-March precipitation totals for certain regions in California. And no, Figure 2 is not a Rorschach test. To show this, instead of giving you probabilities and numbers, I am going to let your eyes tell you the story. The second issue is that, as mentioned previously on the blog, no two El Niño events are the same, and thus their impacts aren’t either. You wouldn’t expect the climate to be the same in northern and southern California, so you shouldn’t expect the impacts of El Niño to be the same either. The first issue is that California is a BIG place. So you may wonder, is it a slam dunk that a developing El Niño causes above-average rain for California? And finally we have discussed exactly what we mean when we use probabilities in these types of forecasts. We have even discussed what the upcoming winter forecast will be for the United States. We have previously touched on the large-scale impacts an El Niño could have on the United States, namely shifting storm tracks around North America, potentially resulting in an abundance of rainfall for parts of California. The issue since drought first arrived back in December 2011 is that Mother Nature missed this memo. Drought Monitor.ĭuring a normal year in California, rainfall picks up in intensity throughout the late fall into winter. Map by NOAA, based on data provided by the U.S. Currently, 99.72% of the state is under drought with 55.08% of California experiencing “D4,” or Exceptional Drought. Drought conditions as of November 18, 2014. I told the ? I’m on a mission with this one! #COB ? pic.twitter. Dre’s investments and his living expenses along with details of allegations that he has several outside relationships and has been funding the lifestyles of younger women, including buying expensive apartments and luxury vehicles for them. Instead, Nicole Young has gone on an exposing spree as she discloses the magnitude of Dr. Dre’s submissions to the court that he does not have money to honor her demands. She has so far demanded $2 million in spousal support per month and has rebutted Dr. ![]() In the meantime, the divorce proceedings are underway, and it has become quite bitter between the two as Young has gotten determined to get as much money from the settlement with Dre. Dre hinted that he had scrapped the project after working on it for more than a decade and instead of releasing “Compton: A Soundtrack By Dr. Dre but later put off as the legendary producer worked on projects for 50 Cent, Eminem, and The Game. This means that the album is almost ten years in the making after being first announced for release in 2002 by Dr. The Detox Album has been teased for release for 2021. Dre looked healthy and normal, something fans were happy to see. Dre in the studio with the caption, “I told the I’m on a mission with this one.” Dr. In a post on Instagram, Crooked also posted a photo that included Dr. “(b#ch) Trying to kill me with them lies and that perjury, I see you trying to f**k me while I’m in surgery/ In ICU, death bed, on some money sh*t/ Greedy b*tch, take a pick, girl you know how money get …by any means get your hand up out my pocket/ This life is private just like the pilot, it’s been decided, this Poseidon,” he raps.Ĭrooked comes in with, “Tin man sh*t, your magic lack heart Thought it was voodoo, we making magic with this black art.” Dre seems to reference his ongoing divorce proceedings with estranged wife Nicole Young as well as the period he spent in the hospital. In an Instagram live video, a two-minute preview of the unmastered track, Dr. Here are 19 surenesses about Compton that will make you feel amazingly, shockingly and depressingly old.The opening between The Chronic: 2001 and Compton (15 years, 8 months) is more than. Since his release from the hospital, he has been reportedly busy in the studio, and a snippet of his hard work in the form of a snippet of a KXNG Crooked collaboration has hit the internet, which has fans speculating that it may or may not be from his upcoming ”Detox” album. Dre might be finally addressing his recent hospitalization that left fans and family members worried about his health after he was hospitalized with a brain aneurysm. ![]() Dre has broken his silence on his bitter divorce battle and recent hospitalization in a new snippet of his oft-delayed album, Detox.ĭr. ![]() "I was so impressed with my premium teleprompter app! 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![]() Here are a few variation ideas along with the classic choices: This recipe is the perfect base for just about anything. You can also add a few other ingredients to it to convert it into whatever flavor you’re looking for. This Sugar Cookie Dough is incredibly versatile and you can make just about any kind of sugar cookie you can imagine! Want to know what you can make using this Sugar Cookie Dough? Keep on reading! What Can You Make Using Sugar Cookie Dough? Regardless of which way you want to go about it, this sugar cookie dough is extremely versatile and foolproof! What’s great is that you can use it to make a variety of different types of cookie shapes, and even add some ingredients to it to customize it according to your palate. You can even use this for kid’s birthday parties (kids truly love them!) or for your mother on Mother’s Day. They’re perfect to use to make Christmas cookies or Easter cookies. They’re commonly decorated with some more sugar, icing, sprinkles, or a combination of all of these! This Sugar Cookie Dough makes the most delicious and tasty sugar cookies that you can have during any holiday! Sugar Cookie Dough is the cookie dough you use to make sugar cookies! It’s the cookie dough to use to make delicious cookies that you can shape by hand or roll out using a rolling pin and cutting into shapes with a cookie cutter. The Perfect Homemade Sugar Cookie Dough (Ready in 10 Mins!).Can This Recipe Be Used to Make Cut-Out Sugar Cookies?.Tips to Make the Best Sugar Cookie Dough.How to Make Sugar Cookie Dough (Step-by-Step).What You Need to Make Sugar Cookie Dough. ![]() What’s So Special About This Sugar Cookie Dough?.What Can You Make Using Sugar Cookie Dough?.Interested in learning how to make this delicious Sugar Cookie Dough? Then keep on reading! Table of Contents It makes it so much easier to have the most delicious sugar cookies whenever you want. I love making this recipe and then storing it in the refrigerator to plan for a holiday in advance. And what’s best is that you can even freeze it for up to a month!īy making a batch of it and freezing it, you’ll be able to make the tastiest sugar cookies just about any time you want! It truly results in the perfect sugar cookie recipe each time! All it takes is 10 minutes to make it yourself. |
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